Posts Tagged ‘Loan modifications’

10/13/2009 How SwapRent program could reduce the re-default rate and create local neighborhood prosperity

Tuesday, October 13th, 2009

One of the key concepts to understand how the SwapRent program could add more value is that in addition to being used alone, the SwapRent program could also be used to complement by providing additional value in conjunction with instead of being used to replace the many loan modification programs already in place, whether the existing programs are provided by the federal government or by the private sector investors themselves.

Just try to imagine what would happen to those credit worthy responsible homeowners who have already agreed to a recently worked out lower monthly mortgage payments plan through other government programs, to receive another additional $500, $800, or $2000 monthly cash flow by agreeing to give up a certain percentage of the future appreciation potential to other free market based investors for the next 2, 3, 5 or 10 years through the SwapRent contacts. Wouldn’t the re-default possibility for these homeowners be even less?

Furthermore, to repeat another SwapRent program deployment strategy mentioned many times in the blog before, try to imagine what net effect there could be for a local town or city in the US if a few major institutional investors or local governments start offering the free market based SwapRent program to every property owner as a free market choice for them to share a part of the future appreciation with other investors, perhaps for the next 2, 3, 5, 8 or 10 years. Since the real estate market is quite regionalized and the supply and demand is compartmentalized by nature, if every homeowner or speculative property owner in this town or city takes advantage of this timely opportunity to monetize future appreciation potential into receiving generous current monthly cash flows, there would be not only zero default or foreclosure in this neighborhood, but also the free market demand created by many property speculators using the monthly subsidy provided by the same SwapRent program to buy a second or third home would be able to bid up the property value again in this town or city.

It is easy to see that the net effect is that local economic prosperity will be brought back to this neighborhood because of reduced foreclosures and increased home value. However, this time around, the value creation would not be a repeat of the previous leverage-induced property market bubble since most of the new owners of homes and investment properties will be those who could truly afford to own without using inappropriate borrowing. This phenomenon could only be realized if this simple economic shared appreciation or shared equity concept were effectively and efficiently implemented through new methodology such as the SwapRent program.

Few people in this neighborhood would be expecting the property market recovery is going to happen within the next 5 years anyway so there could be many people who would willingly sign up for the SwapRent program in order to receive current additional monthly cash flows. The property market doldrums would be true if no innovative programs such as SwapRent is implemented. So everybody could indeed end up in poor house with rampant unemployment five years later if no such action is taken in the local community.

On the other hand, if the SwapRent program is made available to every property owner in this local community, the additional monthly income of $500, $800 or $2,000 per homeowner could stretch far in terms of creating more new economic stimulus activities in this local community without using any taxpayer’s money. The more generous the initial program is designed to be, the more people would sign on to adopt the SwapRent program, the less there will be reasons for foreclosures and as the property value is being bid up again by many free market participants the more likely there will be any future property value appreciation to share at all. This wealth creation story could almost be self-fulfilling.

In the end, everybody, the homeowner, the investor, the local government and every resident, even the by-stander, in this local community would be happier and would be able to share the increased wealth through the increased local property value that is to be created by the SwapRent program. Most importantly, the original investors who took the risks to put up the monthly cash flow subsidy to the homeowners could get to recoup their investments with a very handsome return through the future property value appreciation captured in the SwapRent contracts, in addition to the short term trading profits on mortgages, MBS and other structured products they may have already earned. They would have done very well while doing good to the society at the same time. Isn’t this really how our free market capitalism is supposed to operate?

06/25/2009 Shared appreciation mortgage loan modifications by Federal Credit Unions

Friday, June 26th, 2009

In light of the recent news that federal credit unions are now legally authorized to offer shared appreciation mortgage loan modifications to its member homeowners, an exciting new chapter of hope for American homeowners has been turned to.

Although the economic owning or renting concept as facilitated by the SwapRent contract and its embedded mortgage product HELM is the most efficient and effective methodology to utilize shared appreciation by the American homeowners to avoid defaults and prevent foreclosures, our earlier attempts since late 2006 and most of 2007 to assist major commercial banks, mortgage lenders and Wall Street firms have not been a successful one. By the time these sexy banks finally realized the merits and values of the SwapRent methodology it was already too late. Many of them were either on their death beds or had no credibility to launch any new business anymore. Try to imagine if a over-paid mortgage broker from Countrywide knocks on your door now and tries to help you with your mortgage payment problems with a new kind of mortgage innovation? Equally, imagine if a hot shot bond trader from Lehman Brothers tries to peddle some new innovation to hedge the mortgage portfolios among the newly cooked up MBS and CDOs that he recommends too to small pension funds in Norway or some major banks in Iceland? … Understandably none of these once high flyers would make a good partner to help us introduce SwapRent to the world. With that kind of negative image of those banks, we would have simply been viewed guilty of self-serving by association if we work with these disreputable Wall Street firms in the current environment. That would have instantly ruined my dedicated life-time research work on new housing finance for the good cause. So, we turned down a few requests to work together.

Our later tedious hard work of meeting after meeting in early and mid 2008 to help municipalities, city, county and state governments across the nation to offer the SwapRent program as a fully self-funded not-for-profit operation to save their local citizens/homeowners as well as the dire straits of their own government finances did not go far either. It was much too easier for them to simply have a handout to the federal government for more taxpayers’ money as a bailout. A few of them are intelligent enough to see the value of SwapRent but politically they don’t have a backbone to stand up straight to take any initiatives. Asking for federal handouts had worked well for them to survive so far but it seems time is running out for them again at the moment.

As far as all those efforts in late 2008 invested in educating and dealing with the federal administration officials and Congressional staff members, the best responses we got back were solicitations for political donations and invitations to help them get re-elected as though we could be another cash cow for them! Those who say capitalism is at its best in America seem to have a point.

So a new chapter indeed now that the credit unions could finally have the chance to step up to the plate to help American homeowners.

As explained in many previous blog postings that a timely implementation of SwapRent and HELM may help the homeowners hang on to their homes. The local governments could stabilize the local property value through preventing defaults and increasing new investment demands through a new channel for property investors. It could offer portable housing affordability to low income homeowners at the same time. The P2P (Peer to Peer) business model prototype site that we had built for the US market is at http://www.REIDeX.com . The B2C (Business to Consumer) and B2B (Business to Business) business models are also operated by REIDeX, Inc. These institutional businesses are done using traditional means without an on-line web automation process.

The business concepts of SwapRent and REIDeX could be a bit complicated at first glance since they are radically new innovations. However, once people have had a chance to spend some time to understand them they feel it is a quite natural development of our future housing finance system for our free market based capitalism societies. There is a difference between learning about a new economic concept of shared appreciation versus learning a detailed systemic quantitative methodology to effectively make those related simple economic concepts possible in reality in a more efficient way. SwapRent and REIDeX are such detailed executable step-by-step business methodologies beyond simply introducing a new financial concept.

By being a middleman in the SwapRent offering credit unions could develop a new kind of business activities or a new kind of fully self funded not-for-profit operations for the benefits of their members. The business model is again fully explained on slide #11 in the SwapRent presentation slides.

As also explained at the SwapRent.com home page, there are many major deficiencies of the old ways of offering shared appreciation benefits through the conventional SAM (Shared Appreciation Mortgage) or SEM (Shared Equity Mortgage) products. First, SAM or SEM do not offer any price transparency since there is no either a primary or a secondary marketplace for homeowners and investors to negotiate what subsidy represents what percentage of shared future appreciation. Second, there is no flexibility in maturity terms, percentage of appreciation give-up terms or early termination possibilities. Third, the provider banks could not regenerate the capital of used to purchase the potential appreciation elements embedded in a SAM or SEM through selling these potential appreciation elements to other free market investors through a secondary market.

As a result, this simple economic concept of shared appreciation usually ended up only being offered by local governments to homeowners using taxpayer’s money in the past. Furthermore the taxpayers’ money usually got stuck for 20 or 30 years (the terms of the mortgage itself) in the way as they have been practiced so far in many other countries. There are numerous other problems with the conventional SAM or SEM, hence the need of new innovations such as SwapRent and HELM.

A good recent example to understand why the conventional SAM or SEM would not work is by looking at what shared appreciation scheme that the Federal government had done in its H4H homeowners bailout program launched in October 2008. The one recipe formula in its program contains all the problems and short-comings described above. To solve these problems, our financial markets need new innovations. It may not make sense for credit unions to spend resources now on the shared appreciation concept only to repeat the Federal government’s mistakes if the methodology is not improved.

The key thing to make it successful is to design a new financial contract to extract out the shared appreciation component and detach it from a conventional shared appreciation mortgage product so that market participants can quantify it and give a fair value market price in a freely negotiated and traded secondary market. SwapRent is the new financial contract created specifically for this purpose and REIDeX is the secondary market to facilitate the price discovery, risk transference and the capital regeneration functions for the benefits of the homeowners and investors. The combined new economic owning and renting concepts is the conceptual foundation of how to use the SwapRent transaction and apply these new housing finance methodologies.

01/18/2009 How to profit from trading distressed MBS or mortgage whole loans – a revisited topic.

Sunday, January 18th, 2009

As discussed many times before, there are plenty of trading opportunities for investment funds in the current market. This aspect of the SwapRent applications is on trading distressed MBS or mortgage whole loans in the US. Say an investor buys them at 20 or 30 cents on the dollar on the left hand and offers SwapRent contracts to those homeowners directly on the right hand so that these related mortgages will no longer default for the next 5 or 10 years. The investor could turn around and sell these MBS or mortgage whole loans at a recovered value (say 70 or 80 cents on the dollar) to realize a profit immediately once the SwapRent contracts are closed with the homeowners.

The investors can later on at their leisure sell and get out of these appreciated SwapRent contracts (which represent synthetic equity exposures in the underlying properties specifically using appraised value or through some regional house price indices) to other investors at a profit. However, due to the larger realized profits from trading these distressed mortgage loans or securities already it may not even matter whether they make money or not on these SwapRent contracts. The investors will continue to have the commitments of paying small monthly subsidies to each of the homeowners if they do decide to hold on to these SwapRent contracts and wait for the longer term price recovery of these underlying properties.

In a sense, a SwapRent contract is like the carpentry, roofing, plumbing or electrician service that a smart fixer upper property investor could engage to fix up a distressed property in order to sell it at a higher price later on for a quicker turn-around profit. Otherwise, these distressed properties could stay and remain distressed forever if nothing is done to fix them up.

This investment strategy could also be a great marketing tool as well in order to raise more institutional or even retail funds if effectively communicated through legitimate fund raising vehicles to illustrate a clear intended path to make trading or investment profit. The investment managers could clearly add value by offering SwapRent contracts to homeowners in this buy-low, sell-high trading process of mortgage backed securities or mortgage whole loans.

We have been presenting this investment/trading strategy to many institutional investors in many countries for over two years, including even the TARP fund so that the American taxpayers could benefit from them as well. Nonetheless, as of early 2009, the opportunity still exists for smart private sector funds to take advantage of these trading strategies and be among the first few to implement them. The SwapRent transaction is simply a detailed systematic methodology to quantify, price and legally make creating a secondary market for these simple shared appreciation economic concepts possible. Our role is only to offer consulting services and the licensing of these methodologies to assist the private sector funds in the various implementation steps to achieve their investment goals.